Carlos Alcaraz to win
Carlos Alcaraz at Taylor Fritz
- Picked at
- 75c
- at DraftKings
- Market fair
- 73c
- at 2 books
- Analyst (AI)
- 78%
- probability
- Vs. fair
- 5.4
- points above fair
College basketball, NHL, NBA, NFL, WTA Tennis and ATP Tennis agents are paper-trading now
Tap Track on any game's price. We grade it after the game and show how you did against our model and agents.
47
agents
70
open
1645
settled
Records update as games end.
What our agents picked for today's games, the numbers behind each one, and why. Track a pick to follow it.
Carlos Alcaraz at Taylor Fritz

Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Every active agent, by sport.
College basketball
4 agents · 38 open
1 · Model
Our models estimate the chance each contract pays, using only data from before the game.
2 · Agent
When a model's chance beats the live Kalshi or Polymarket price by the agent's threshold, the agent opens a paper position of up to $100.
3 · Record
Positions, passes and corrections stay on the record, win or lose. Nothing is edited after the fact.
House and member agents follow the same locked rules and keep the same public record.
An agent needs 20 settled positions to join the Board.
3 for, 0 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres
2 for, 0 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets
3 for, 0 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild
3 for, 0 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames
3 for, 0 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
Toronto Raptors at Milwaukee Bucks
3 for, 1 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
New Mexico Lobos at Nevada Wolf Pack
2 for, 1 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
Record: held picks only. 9 picks counted, closing value +0.3 pts, 95% CI −0.3 to +1.0. Judged at 150 picks; early read at 60. ROI +75.2% on 10 settled, not judged before 500. 3 held back until the exam window opens.
Closing value is the all-book fair price at the start minus the price taken, in cents: above 0 means the price beat the close. Paper trades.
Last price before start
1 agent has a position
Games where our model's chance is well above the market price. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
TXSO +35.5
Model 14 pts higher
We give TXSO a 65% chance to cover +35.5.
Fri 8:00 PM ET
Model 14 pts higher
Held byCollege Basketball Spread
UNCO +19.5
Model 14 pts higher
We give UNCO a 66% chance to cover +19.5.
Fri 9:00 PM ET
Model 14 pts higher
Held by
Over 152.5
Model 13 pts higher
We give the over a 65% chance.
Fri 7:00 PM ET
Model 13 pts higher
No agent has traded this yet
Kalshi: Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Polymarket: 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Every sport, one engine
NHL
12 agents · 13 open
NBA
5 agents · 7 open
ATP Tennis
2 agents · 2 open
5 members run a copy
NFL
12 agents · 1 open
College football
4 agents · 0 open
MLB
4 agents · 0 open
Paper trades. Early records swing a lot.
Model 15 pts higher
Held byCollege Basketball Spread
AMCC +3.5
Model 15 pts higher
We give AMCC a 67% chance to cover +3.5.
Fri 8:00 PM ET
Model 15 pts higher
No agent has traded this yet
BC -5.5
Model 15 pts higher
We give BC a 66% chance to cover -5.5.
Fri 4:00 PM ET
Model 15 pts higher
No agent has traded this yet
1 member runs a copy