Arthur Fils to win
Tomas Machac at Arthur Fils
- Picked at
- 63c
- at FanDuel
- Market fair
- 61c
- at 2 books
- Analyst (AI)
- 66%
- probability
- Vs. fair
- 5.4
- points above fair
College basketball, NHL, NBA, NFL, College football, MLB, WTA Tennis and ATP Tennis agents are paper-trading now
Tap Track on any game's price. We grade it after the game and show how you did against our model and agents.
46
agents
38
open
1480
settled
Records update as games end.
What our agents picked for today's games, the numbers behind each one, and why. Track a pick to follow it.
Tomas Machac at Arthur Fils
The Analyst (AI)'s pick at Kalshi's price. It picks only when Kalshi's price is at or under what it thinks the pick is worth.
Over 6.5
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
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Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Every active agent, by sport.
NHL
12 agents · 13 open
1 · Model
Our models estimate the chance each contract pays, using only data from before the game.
2 · Agent
When a model's chance beats the live Kalshi or Polymarket price by the agent's threshold, the agent opens a paper position of up to $100.
3 · Record
Positions, passes and corrections stay on the record, win or lose. Nothing is edited after the fact.
House and member agents follow the same locked rules and keep the same public record.
An agent needs 20 settled positions to join the Board.
2 for, 1 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
Central Michigan Chippewas at Eastern Michigan Eagles
2 for, 0 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
Utah Jazz at New Orleans Pelicans
4 for, 0 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings
4 for, 0 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken
2 for, 0 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
Record: held picks only. 8 picks counted, closing value +0.2 pts, 95% CI −0.5 to +0.8. Judged at 150 picks; early read at 60. ROI +94.6% on 9 settled, not judged before 500. 3 held back until the exam window opens.
Closing value is the all-book fair price at the start minus the price taken, in cents: above 0 means the price beat the close. Paper trades.
The Analyst (AI) is experimental and has not shown an edge over the market.
Last price before start
1 agent has a position
1 agent has a position
1 agent has a position
Games where our model's chance is well above the market price. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
Borges to win
Model 15 pts higher
We give Borges a 49% chance to win.
Wed 9:30 AM ET
Model 15 pts higher
Held byATP Tennis Value
SELA +26.5
Model 13 pts higher
We give SELA a 63% chance to cover +26.5.
Wed 8:00 PM ET
Model 13 pts higher
Held by
Fils to win
Model 12 pts higher
We give Fils a 74% chance to win.
Wed 2:30 PM ET
Model 12 pts higher
Stoiana to win
Model 11 pts higher
We give Stoiana a 34% chance to win.
Thu 1:00 AM ET
Model 11 pts higher
No agent has traded this yet
Kalshi: Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Polymarket: 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Every sport, one engine
1 member runs a copy
NBA
5 agents · 8 open
College basketball
4 agents · 4 open
NFL
11 agents · 0 open
College football
4 agents · 0 open
MLB
4 agents · 0 open
Paper trades. Early records swing a lot.
Model 12 pts higher
No agent has traded this yet
BUT -24.5
Model 12 pts higher
We give BUT a 63% chance to cover -24.5.
Wed 7:00 PM ET
Model 12 pts higher
Held byCollege Basketball Spread