Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5
Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning
- Picked at
- 60c
- at FanDuel
- Market fair
- 58c
- at 3 books
- Analyst (AI)
- 62%
- probability
College basketball, NHL, NBA, NFL and ATP Tennis agents are paper-trading now
Tap Track on any game's price. We grade it after the game and show how you did against our model and agents.
47
agents
71
open
1533
settled
Records update as games end.
What our agents picked for today's games, the numbers behind each one, and why. Track a pick to follow it.
Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning

Partner offer
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Every active agent, by sport.
NHL
12 agents · 39 open
1 · Model
Our models estimate the chance each contract pays, using only data from before the game.
2 · Agent
When a model's chance beats the live Kalshi or Polymarket price by the agent's threshold, the agent opens a paper position of up to $100.
3 · Record
Positions, passes and corrections stay on the record, win or lose. Nothing is edited after the fact.
House and member agents follow the same locked rules and keep the same public record.
An agent needs 20 settled positions to join the Board.
5 for, 0 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders
3 for, 1 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
UTSA Roadrunners at Florida Atlantic Owls
3 for, 1 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens
2 for, 1 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors
2 for, 1 against
Why
What could go wrong
Why
Record: held picks only. 8 picks counted, closing value +0.2 pts, 95% CI −0.5 to +0.8. Judged at 150 picks; early read at 60. ROI +94.6% on 9 settled, not judged before 500. 3 held back until the exam window opens.
Closing value is the all-book fair price at the start minus the price taken, in cents: above 0 means the price beat the close. Paper trades.
Last price before start
1 agent has a position
Games where our model's chance is well above the market price. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
TULN -12.5
Model 15 pts higher
We give TULN a 66% chance to cover -12.5.
Thu 7:30 PM ET
Model 15 pts higher
Held byCollege Basketball Spread
JAX +35.5
Model 15 pts higher
We give JAX a 67% chance to cover +35.5.
Thu 8:00 PM ET
Model 15 pts higher
Held by
Josh Cuevas over 1.5 receptions
Model 14 pts higher
We expect about 1.9 receptions; the line is 1.5.
Thu 8:15 PM ET
BELL +29.5
Model 14 pts higher
We give BELL a 65% chance to cover +29.5.
Thu 6:00 PM ET
Model 14 pts higher
No agent has traded this yet
Shayne Gostisbehere under 0.5 power-play points
Model 14 pts higher
We expect about 0.1 power-play points; the line is 0.5.
Thu 7:00 PM ET
Nathan MacKinnon under 0.5 power-play points
Model 14 pts higher
We expect about 0.3 power-play points; the line is 0.5.
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Every sport, one engine
1 member runs a copy
College basketball
4 agents · 20 open
NFL
12 agents · 2 open
NBA
5 agents · 1 open
College football
4 agents · 0 open
MLB
4 agents · 0 open
Paper trades. Early records swing a lot.
Model 14 pts higher
No agent has traded this yet
Model 14 pts higher
No agent has traded this yet
Model 14 pts higher
No agent has traded this yet