Track your picks against our model.

3 for, 0 against

• Price: for, model 39.5% vs 37.2% fair at 5 books
• Form and role: for
• Matchup: for

Why

• Los Angeles has lost all 5 of its last 5 games and allows 4.17 goals per game.
• Its penalty kill sits at 61.9 percent, rank 31 of 32, while Washington scores 3.5 goals per game.
• Washington has won 3 of its last 5 and both teams come in on 2 days of rest.

What could go wrong

• Winning by 2 or more goals is never easy, and Los Angeles takes 29.8 shots per game.
• Washington allows 29.6 shots per game, rank 27 of 32, so the Kings can still create chances.

1 for, 0 against

• Matchup: for

Why

• Florida International allows only 14.7 points per game and scores 19.7.
• Middle Tennessee scores 22.8 points per game and Florida International holds opponents to 100 rushing yards per game.
• Both teams come in on 6 days of rest, so neither defense is worn down.

What could go wrong

• Middle Tennessee allows 199.2 rushing yards per game, which could let Florida International run up points.
• Middle Tennessee also allows 28.3 points per game, so one side could carry the total.

Why

• Our model now has Middle Tennessee at 22.9 against a 23.8 price, and FIU allows 14.7...

1 for, 0 against

• Matchup: for

Why

• South Alabama runs for 220.3 yards per game and scores 38.8 points per game.
• Marshall allows 193.8 rushing yards and 33.7 points per game.
• Marshall scores only 22 points per game on offense.

What could go wrong

• South Alabama allows 34.5 points per game, so a shootout could keep this close.
• Both teams have won 3 of their last 5, and a field goal margin is a common result.

1 for, 0 against

• Price: for, model 58.4% vs 55.3% fair at 6 books

Why

• Edmonton scores 4.63 goals per game, 1st of 32 teams.
• Both teams won 4 of their last 5 games, but Edmonton is at home with 2 days of rest to Minnesota's 1.
• Minnesota is without Olli Maatta, while Edmonton is without Jason Dickinson.
• Our model gives Edmonton 58.4 percent to win.

What could go wrong

• Minnesota allows only 2.33 goals per game, 5th of 32, and kills 89.3 percent of penalties.
• Minnesota's power play converts 32.1 percent, 2nd of 32, against an Edmonton penalty kill at 70.8 percent.

3 for, 0 against

• Price: for, model 52.4% vs 49.3% fair at 1 book
• Line move: for, line moved from +2.5 to +0.5 since Oct 13
• Form and role: for

Why

• San Antonio is without Tobias Harris and Jayden Quaintance in our injury data.
• The market has moved toward Oklahoma City since this line opened.
• San Antonio won only 1 of its last 5 finals, against 2 of 5 for Oklahoma City.

What could go wrong

• Oklahoma City is also missing Nikola Topic, Thomas Sorber and Otega Oweh.
• The market sees this as close to even, so one hot shooting night can decide it.